Monday 19 January 2009

The Formal Keynesian Position: The Swedish Solution Explained

Say what you like about Krugman, he sure can explain to us non-Masters-of-the-Universe the technical options.
"...let me describe the position of a hypothetical bank that I’ll call Gothamgroup, or Gotham for short.....Gotham is a zombie bank: it’s still operating, but the reality is that it has already gone bust. Its stock isn’t totally worthless...but that value is entirely based on the hope that shareholders will be rescued by a government bailout.

Why would the government bail Gotham out? Because it plays a central role in the financial system. When Lehman was allowed to fail, financial markets froze, and for a few weeks the world economy teetered on the edge of collapse. Since we don’t want a repeat performance, Gotham has to be kept functioning. But how can that be done?

Well, the government could simply give Gotham a couple of hundred billion dollars, enough to make it solvent again. But this would, of course, be a huge gift to Gotham’s current shareholders — and it would also encourage excessive risk-taking in the future. Still, the possibility of such a gift is what’s now supporting Gotham’s stock price.

A better approach would be to do what the government did with zombie savings and loans at the end of the 1980s: it seized the defunct banks, cleaning out the shareholders."

Mind you, matey over here says Krugman doesn't understand the maths. (Which is a pretty big thing to say of a nobel laureate).

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